Money Art | December 2014 USA Market View

money artFig. 1 – Daily Candlestick chart of ADXS. It went up 156% from US$3.13 to $8.01.

December 2014 and year 2014 USA market view

STOCKS. In the 1-month category, the best three stocks are ADXS @ 156%, QTNTW @ 128% and ALDR @ 78%.
A stock trading on NasdaqCM, ADXS belongs to the Healthcare sector, Biotechnology industry. With 17 employees, this New Jersey, USA based company focuses on developing immune-therapies for cancer and infectious diseases.
The stock price went up because management announced FDA acceptance of its new drug for prostate cancer, because nationwide news coverage and also because it received US$17M financing.
The top three stocks in the 3-month category are QTNTW @ 459%, DWTI @ 284% and OVAS @ 166%.
In the YTD category, the best three stocks are QTNTW @ 5,181%, WMGIZ @ 1,393% and RDNT @ 411%.
Three stocks with the biggest 1-month decline are WLT @ –56%, RUSL @ –62% and UGAZ @ –70%.
In the “What’s hot, what’s not” category, the five hottest stocks are NRX, CYTK, SIGM, BCLI and RDHL; the five least hot stocks are GNI, ANY, ONTX, AMRS and PCYO.
SECTORS. 77 industry sectors out of 182 are in green territory.
The top three winners are Computers – Peripheral Equipment, Medical Services and Computer – Networks. The three bottom sectors are Wireless – Non USA, REIT – Mortgage Trusts and Metal – Production and Fabrication.
MUTUAL FUNDS. The top performers this month are two of the Cornerstone funds @ 291%, Cornerstone Progressive Return Fund @ 288% and Fidelity Connecticut Municipal Income Fund @ 175%.
EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS. The best three ETFs this month are Powershares China A-Share Portfolio @ 38%, China ETF Market Vectors @ 23% and DB X-Trackers Harvest Csi 300 C @ 22%.
FUTURES. The top contracts are: (Currencies) US Dollar Index @ 2.79%, (Energies) Ethanol Futures @ –6.14%, (Financials) Ultra T-bond @ 3.28%, (Grains) Canola @ 4.22%, (Indices) CBOE S&P500 VIX @ 8.23%, (Meats) Milk @ –1.85%, (Metals) Palladium @ –1.20% and (Softs) Sugar @ 1.87%.
INDEXES. The best three indexes are CBOE Volatility Index @ 44%, S&P Utilities @ 3.24% and DOW Utilities @ 3.06%.
DOW Jones Industrial Average finished down @ –0.03% this month reflecting that bullish and bearish sentiment equalized each other: –0.03% on 5-digit figures is too small of a percentage to say that bears are beginning to overpower the bulls.
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Relevant in December were titles like: “Can oil fall all the way to $40?”, “Why gold just can’t win”, “Low Odds of a Big Fall in the S&P in December”, “Dow, S&P 500 at records after upbeat Fed report (Dec. 3rd)”, “Roubini: We’re in an asset bubble and it won’t pop until 2016”, “It’s official: America is now No. 2”, “Dow 18,000 just the beginning: Pros”, “Euro will be ‘dismantled’ in 3 years: Pro”, “Why 2015 will be the toughest year since the recession”, “2015 to be toughest year since recession: Minton Beddoes”, “Why Dow 20,000 could be around the corner”, “Siegel: Expect a stock market correction in 2015”, “Geopolitical problems lead Nouriel Roubini’s list of top economic risks for 2015”,“ $60 oil will be norm for next 5 years: Economist”, “Europe Is Following Italy Into A Minefield Of Permanent Austerity And Debt Crises”, “A surprising explanation for why gold isn’t rallying”, “Here’s a fascinating explanation for why stocks are going higher”, “Dow, S&P end at records in fourth straight day of gains for Wall Street (Dec. 22)”, “Dow strikes 18000 for first time as traders cheer GDP data (Dec. 23)”, “Stock swings may signal bull run is in its last throes”, “Appaloosa’s Tepper sees 8-10% upside in 2015”, “Wall St little changed but S&P hits record (Dec. 29)”, “Gold will sink to just 3 digits: Sullivan predicts”, “Why next year’s market looks too good to be true”, which are self-explanatory.

money art - 2Fig. 2 – Daily Candlestick chart of QTNTW (May 27 – Dec. 31, 2014). It went up 5,181% from US$0.16 to $8.45.

2014, the year that was

STOCKS. The best three stocks are QTNTW @ 5,181%, WMGIZ @ 1,393% and RDNT @ 411%.
This is a stock warrant trading on NasdaqGM related to QTNT, a diagnostics company based in UK which develops, manufactures and commercializes blood transfusion diagnostic products worldwide. The company is not indexed on any sector or industry in USA.
With 210 employees, this company’s stock price went up because management released good news throughout the year, launched four new reagent red cell products and also announced $27M private placement.
Three stocks with the biggest 1-year decline are WLT @ –91%, VGGL @ –92% and EMITF @ –93%.
In the “What’s hot, what’s not” category, the five hottest stocks are VRS, GTIM, CMRX, CBMG and PTSI; the five least hot stocks are AMRS, CMCT, ONTX, GNI and WGBS.
The stock market monthly performance list is as follows:
January 117%
February 67%
March 66%
April 56%
May 63%
June 249%
July 48%
August 403%
September 163%
October 109%
November 140%
December 156%
Total 1,637%

SECTORS. 20 industry sectors out of 182 are in green territory.
The top three winners in 2014 are Mining – Gold, REIT – Equity Trust Residential and Mining – Silver.
The three bottom sectors are Oil – C Exploration & Product, Broadcast – Radio & TV and Solar.
MUTUAL FUNDS. The top performers this year are three of the Cornerstone funds @ 260+%, Fidelity Connecticut Municipal Income Fund @ 176% and two of the Matthews India Funds @ 7+%.
EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS. The best three ETFs this year are Powershares China A-Share Portfolio @ 66%, Kraneshares Bosera MSCI China A @ 56% and DB X-Trackers Harvest Csi 300 C @ 51%.
FUTURES. The top contracts are: (Currencies) US Dollar Index @ 13.41%, (Energies) Ethanol @ –3.65%, (Financials) Ultra T-bond @ 13.51%, (Grains) Oats @ –0.33%, (Indices) E-mini Nasdaq 100 @ 19.66%, (Meats) Feeder Cattle @ 26.43%, (Metals) Palladium @ 10.58% and (Softs) Coffee @ 35.39%.
INDEXES. The best three indexes are CBOE Volatility Index @ 41%, DOW Utilities @ 26% and S&P Utilities @ 25%.
DOW Jones Industrial Average finished up @ 7.99% this year while S&P500 gained 11.83%.
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Comparing the figures above to those of last year, the 2014 total monthly cumulative return is higher by 197%.
The number of sectors in green territory dropped from 151 in 2013 to 20 in 2014.
While the Mining – Silver sector was among the bottom three sectors in 2013, this year is the third best sector.
In the Futures category, the E-mini Nasdaq 100 performed better in 2013 @ 39% than in 2014 @ 19%. Feeder Cattle performed worse in 2013 @ 6% than in 2014 @ 26% and Palladium continued its rise from 2.35% in 2013 to 10% in 2014.
The most shocking story in 2014 is the 47% drop in oil prices with no end in sight. As chartists – not gossipers – whatever the reasons for the price drop, we are not surprised: after all, we know that what goes up, comes down. Many people are losing their bread now because oil rigs and refineries slowing down or closing doors altogether.
There is pain out there but lots of pain also existed in other sectors every past year. A sector rotation is at work at all times bringing some sectors up and sending other sectors lower. This time, because oil usage is so common, it could be that too many negative circumstances are concurring to hit us harder than in the past.
It is normal behavior for all sectors to fluctuate up and down daily bringing new companies to limelight while pushing other sectors down in the game. Sectors never go out of business, only companies do.
I have one advice for when good days come: make sure to remember they won’t last.
I have one advice for when bad days come: make sure to remember they too don’t last forever but this time they may take longer to go away than the time they took before.
None of the companies falling out of grace with the public have a soft landing …
The way I look at oil prices falling instead of rising together with more and more consumers and population increasing is that oil may be bowing out of the scene making room for something else – what would that be? – to come up. This is how tastes, things and times change …

 

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