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Turkey would invade EU territory to protect Turkish Cypriots?

battleUnder the guarantor powers of Cyprus’ independence agreement in 1960, Turkey have the right to intervene militarily if the terms of that agreement are threatened. In July, the Greek Cypriot side rejected any peace deal that would allow Turkey to maintain the right to intervene militarily in Cyprus but Turkey made it clear that it would never give up this right, not even if Cyprus were all part of the EU[1].

What if there were a successful conclusion to the current round of talks and as a result Cyprus was united? Turkey’s apparent willingness to send its troops to fight in the EU creates a frightening scenario where Turkey as a non-EU member could be provoked, for example, into such an action by disgruntled GCs attacking TCs. What would the EU do? If they could not protect a tiny country like Cyprus then this would affect their credibility as a military force. Even more frightening scenarios include Turkey giving up on the EU and further strengthening its links with Muslim countries and with Russia, a country which might see such a confrontation as advantageous to its own geopolitical aims.

Once again, this exposes the foolishness of the EU for allowing a divided country into the EU. There has recently been discussions about the possibility of countries leaving the EU because of their disillusionment with it. Possibly there could be consideration made to a reverse situation where the EU could eject a member state if it became disillusioned with them; in other words with Cyprus?

Source:
[1] Today’s Zaman (27/11/2009)     

itain and Greece may be ready to give up their right of military intervention on the divided island of Cyprus, but Turkey will not abandon its right to intervene in Cyprus to protect the island’s Turkish population, a senior Turkish Cypriot official has stated.

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Britain’s minister for Europe, Chris Bryant, said on Tuesday the UK could give up rights of military intervention on divided Cyprus to help seal a reunification agreement. Britain has already offered to give up part of its sovereign base area on the island to assist a possible deal.

Greece, Turkey and former colonial ruler Britain are guarantor powers of Cyprus’ independence agreement in 1960 — giving them the right to intervene militarily if the terms of that agreement are threatened.

The guarantee system is the main barrier preventing the forcible expulsion of Turkish Cypriots from the island, thus is “vital” for the protection of Turkish Cypriots, Hasan Erçakıca, a spokesperson for the presidential office of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (KKTC), told reporters on Wednesday when reminded of news reports about Britain.

“What is necessary for us is the continuation of Turkey’s security guarantees,” Erçakıca said, noting that the other two guarantor countries might be willing to give up their guarantee right due to circumstantial reasons.  In July, when the Greek Cypriot side rejected any peace deal that would allow Turkey to maintain the right to intervene militarily as a condition of reunifying the ethnically divided island, Ankara made clear that it will not give up its right to intervene in Cyprus to protect the island’s Turkish population.

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